My research focuses predicting, preventing, and preparing for recessions. I model macroeconomic and labor market conditions and I also evaluate forecasts, particularly with respect to their role in monetary policy and decisionmaking. I serve as co-director of the George Washington University Research Program on Forecasting. I teach undergraduate and graduate courses in macroeconomics and econometrics. Outside of GW I am a senior fellow at Indeed, a job search website with labor market data on more than 60 countries worldwide. I have access to their data and I use it to write academic papers and research reports on global economic issues. I am also a member of the Bureau of Labor Statistics Technical Advisory Committee.